Campaign 2010

Oct 11, 2010

More District by District Polls Show Democrats Well-Positioned for November

The DCCC released another crop of IE polls and highlighted campaign and outside group polls showing even more Democrats in a strong position for November.  Here are some highlights of the recent polling:

DCCC Independent Expenditure Polls

McIntyre Leads Pantano by 11 in New NC-07 Poll
A new Grove Insight poll shows Representative Mike McIntyre leading Republican challenger Ilario Pantano by 11 percent.  McIntyre leads Pantano 52 percent to 41 percent.  Conducted October 3-5, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Hanabusa Leads Djou by 4 in New HI-01 Poll
A new Global Strategy Group poll shows Democrat Colleen Hanabusa leading Republican Representative Charles Djou by 4 percent.  Hanabusa leads Djou 48 percent to 44 percent.  Conducted October 4-6, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Shuler leads Miller by 13 in New NC-11 Poll
A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research poll shows Representative Heath Shuler leading Republican challenger Jeff Miller by 13 percent.  Shuler leads Miller 54 percent to 41 percent. Conducted October 4-6, the poll surveyed 413 likely voters and has a 4.8 percent margin of error. 

Boswell Leads Zaun by 8 in New IA-03 Poll
A new Bennett, Petts and Normington poll shows Representative Leonard Boswell leading Republican challenger Brad Zaun by 8 percent.  Boswell leads Zaun 49 percent to 41 percent.  Conducted October 3-4, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Mitchell Leads Schweikert by 7 in New AZ-05 Poll
A new Benenson Strategy Group poll shows Representative Harry Mitchell leading Republican challenger David Schweikert by 7 percent.  Mitchell leads Schweikert 46 percent to 39 percent.  Conducted October 5-7, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. 

Callahan Statistically Tied with Dent in New PA-15 Poll
A new Grove Insight poll shows Democrat John Callahan statistically tied with Representative Charlie Dent.  Callahan received 43 percent and Dent received 45 percent.  Conducted September 27-29, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Foster Leads Hultgren by 10 in New IL-14 Poll
A new Benenson Strategy Group poll shows Representative Bill Foster leading Republican challenger Randy Hultgren by 10 percent.  Foster leads Hultgren 48 percent to 38 percent.  Conducted October 4-6, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

Outside Group Polls

New PA-07 Poll Shows Race Tightening
A new Monmouth University Poll shows the race between Democrat Bryan Lentz and Republican Pat Meehan tightening.  Meehan holds a narrow 4 point lead over Lentz, 49 percent to 45 percent.  Conducted October 4-6, the poll surveyed 670 likely voters and has a 3.8 percent margin of error. [Monmouth University Release, 10/7/10] 

Richmond Leads Cao by 11 in New LA-02 Poll

A new PPP poll shows Democrat Cedric Richmond leading Representative Joseph Cao by 11 percent.  Richmond leads Cao 49 percent to 38 percent.  Conducted October 2-3, the poll surveyed 605 likely voters and had a 4 percent margin of error. [CQ-Roll Call, 10/5/10] 

Campaign Polls

Chandler Leads Barr by 12 in New KY-06 Poll
A new Mellman Group poll shows Representative Ben Chandler leading Republican challenger Andy Barr by 12 percent.  Chandler leads Bar 52 percent to 40 percent.  Conducted September 29-30, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. [Chandler Release, 10/7/10]

Schauer Leads Walberg by 4 in New MI-07 Poll
A new Myers Research poll shows Representative Mark Schauer leading Republican challenger Tim Walberg by 4 percent. Schauer leads Walberg 44 percent to 40 percent.  Conducted October 3-4, the poll surveyed 500 likely voters and has a 4.4 percent margin of error. [Myers Research & Strategic Services Memo, 10/5/10]

Cardoza Leads Berryhill by 16 in New CA-18 Poll
A New JMM Research poll shows Representative Dennis Cardoza leading Republican challenger Mike Berryhill by 16 percent.  Cardoza leads Berryhill 53 percent to 37 percent.  Conducted September 27-29, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 5% margin of error. [CQ-Roll Call, 10/9/10]


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