TO: Interested Parties
FROM: DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
DATE: July 11, 2018
JOHN FASO IS IN FOR A TOUGH REELECTION IN 2018
Following a competitive primary, Democrat Antonio Delgado is in a strong position to defeat Republican Congressman John Faso. Delgado leads Faso by 7 points (49% to 42%) in a DCCC survey of likely general election voters conducted in New York’s 19th Congressional District.
The generic ballot further illustrates the challenging environment for the incumbent congressman. Voters favor a generic Democrat by 10 points over a generic Republican (49% to 39%).
Voters view Delgado much more favorably than Faso: 35% of voters view Delgado favorably, compared to only 15% with an unfavorable view. Conversely, a whopping 45% of voters view Faso unfavorably, including 26% of registered Republicans, compared to only 30% who rate him favorably.
VOTERS GIVE TRUMP AND FASO POOR JOB PERFORMANCE RATINGS
To make matters worse for Faso, voters disapprove of his job performance as congressman and of Donald Trump’s performance as president. Just 33% of voters approve of the job John Faso is doing as congressman, compared to 45% who disapprove. Remarkably, even 23% of registered Republicans disapprove of Faso’s performance. Trump’s ratings are similar – 39% of voters approve of his job as president, while 53% disapprove.
New York’s 19th Congressional District is a swing district with a history of supporting Democrats and Republicans. President Obama won the district in both of his presidential runs and Senators Gillibrand and Schumer easily carried the district in 2012 and 2016, respectively.
The results are based on a survey of 545 likely 2018 general election voters in NY-19 conducted by the DCCC fielded June 27-28, 2018. Respondents’ information came from the voter file and this poll was conducted through a standard blend of live cell phone and automated calls. The margin of error is +/- 4.2%.