DEMOCRATS LEAD IN KS-03 GENERIC BALLOT
In a survey of likely 2018 general election voters conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for the DCCC in advance of the August primary, a Democratic candidate leads a Republican candidate by 7 points on the generic ballot (51% to 44%). Democrats have an overwhelming 37-point advantage among registered independents (66% to 29%) and the support of a quarter of registered Republicans (25% to 71%) on that generic ballot test. With Democrats across the country regularly outperforming the generic ballot, Rep. Kevin Yoder will face a difficult challenge in November.
VOTERS REJECT BROWNBACK, NATIONAL REPUBLICANS, AND YODER
After years of failed Republican leadership in Kansas and Washington, Kansans across the political spectrum are looking for a change.
Voters have a negative view of Kevin Yoder’s job performance as Congressman (45% positive, 51% negative). The trouble for Republicans does not end there; voters are sour on the direction of the country under Republican leadership (37% right direction, 56% wrong track), and voters rate an array of Republican figures negatively by large margins.
President Trump is 13 points underwater in a district he lost by 1.2 points, with 42% of voters having a favorable view, while 55% have an unfavorable view. Paul Ryan is viewed unfavorably by 14 points (35% favorable, 49% unfavorable), and Governor Sam Brownback is an astounding net 40 points underwater (26% favorable, 66% unfavorable). Distaste for Brownback and his agenda also extends to registered Republicans, a plurality of whom rate him unfavorably (43% favorable, 47% unfavorable).
Kansas’s 3rd congressional district includes parts of Kansas City and its surrounding suburbs. The district is mostly suburban (78.3%), with 17.6% rural. 8.9% of the voting age population are African American, and 22.4% are between the ages of 18-35. This district is trending towards Democrats. While Obama lost the district twice, Secretary Clinton won with 50.6% of the vote.
These results are based on a Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research survey of 408 likely November 2018 general election voters in KS-03, conducted June 25 – 27, 2018 for DCCC. All responses were recorded by live, professional interviewers in calls to both cell phones and landlines. The margin of error is +/- 4.4%.