|
To: Interested Parties
From: DCCC Analytics Department
Date: October 20th, 2026
Subject: DCCC Polling Memo: Knickerbocker Leads Turner by 3 in OH-10
An internal DCCC Analytics poll conducted October 12th to 13th among 535 likely general election voters shows that OH-10 is a prime pick-up opportunity for Democrats in 2026, with Kristina Knickerbocker running 3 points ahead of Turner (47% to 44%).
After 24 years in Washington, Mike Turner has stopped showing up for the Ohioans who sent him there – and they’ve taken notice. Turner’s job approval is underwater by 5 points in the district (36% approve / 41% disapprove). Meanwhile, voters like what they’ve seen of Knickerbocker, with her net positive at +5, 31% favorable to 26% unfavorable .
Democrats up and down the ballot are performing well in OH-10, with both Sherrod Brown and Amy Acton both running 4 points ahead of their Republican opponents. In a district that went for Trump by 8 points in 2024, voters’ dissatisfaction is reflected in Trump’s job approval rating, which is now heavily underwater by 18 points (36% approve / 54% disapprove).
The Bottom Line: OH-10 is a highly competitive race because Southwest Ohio voters are ready for change. As an Air Force veteran, nurse practitioner, and working mother, Knickerbocker brings a background centered on public service and will be laser-focused on lowering costs and expanding access to health care. In contrast, voters are increasingly turning away from Turner, pointing to his deep reliance on corporate PAC funding, his voting record of slashing affordable health care and raising costs, and decades of putting party leadership over the interests of working Ohioans.
Methodology: These results are based on a survey of 535 likely general election voters in OH-10 conducted from October 12-13, 2026, via phone and text-to-web interviews. The margin of error is +/- 4.2% at a 95% confidence interval.
|
