|
Phoenix New Times: “With a formidable opponent, increased focus from congressional Democrats on the race, changing demographics in the district, a storm of abortion rights support and a chaotic Republican Party, Schweikert’s time might just be up in November”
Two weeks after his primary win, new DCCC IE polling shows Dr. Amish Shah tied with vulnerable Republican incumbent David Schweikert at 48%, with 4% of voters undecided.
After voters heard negatives on Schweikert, Shah jumped to 51% support with Schweikert dropping to 45%.
The poll also found that AZ-01 is a pro-choice district. “63% said they will vote in favor of the abortion initiative that will appear on the November ballot,” reported Phoenix New Times. “It’s no wonder that one of the main focuses of Shah’s campaign is protecting abortion rights, which is a weak spot in Schweikert’s record.”
In 2022, DCCC Analytics Polls were proven to be more accurate compared to public polling throughout the cycle. DCCC Analytics polls predicted the ultimate winner in 92% of polls in the final 60 days before Election Day.
DCCC Spokesperson Lauryn Fanguen:
“With a record of attacking abortion rights and promoting cuts to programs like Social Security and Medicare, it’s clear that Arizonans are rejecting David Schweikert and looking for new leadership in Congress. Dr. Amish Shah will finally give Arizonans the representation they deserve.”
Phoenix New Times: Democrats to spend big money to boot David Schweikert from Congress
TJ L’Heureux | August 15, 2024
KEY POINTS:
-
Now, two weeks after former state Rep. Amish Shah won the Democratic primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District, Democrats in Congress are positioning themselves to pounce on Schweikert.
-
Schweikert won by 3,195 votes — less than 1%.
-
As it stands now, it looks like the race between Schweikert and Shah is a dead heat.
-
The DCCC commissioned an Impact Research poll, which it shared exclusively with New Times before releasing it publicly today. Conducted from Aug. 1-4, the poll shows that voters are split between Schweikert and Shah, each of whom garnered support from 48% of respondents.
-
The pollsters also tested voter support for the candidates after giving “negatives on Schweikert.” In that scenario, Shah jumped to 51% support, while Schweikert dropped to 45%.
-
The poll also shows that while the race is essentially a tie with fewer than three months to go before the election, the district — which is the wealthiest one in Arizona — leans heavily in favor of reproductive rights: 63% said they will vote in favor of the abortion initiative that will appear on the November ballot.
-
It’s no wonder that one of the main focuses of Shah’s campaign is protecting abortion rights, which is a weak spot in Schweikert’s record.
-
When Roe v. Wade was overturned, Schweikert tweeted he was “pleased.” Since then, the Arizona Republic highlighted how Schweikert has co-sponsored extreme legislation that defines a person as existing at the moment of fertilization.
-
Schweikert also is a member of the Republican Study Committee, which released a proposed budget that included a 15-week national abortion ban as well as legislation that could allow states to eliminate access to contraception and in vitro fertilization.
-
With a formidable opponent, increased focus from congressional Democrats on the race, changing demographics in the district, a storm of abortion rights support and a chaotic Republican Party, Schweikert’s time might just be up in November.
|
