A new DCCC-commissioned poll shows Tom Suozzi holding a commanding 16-point lead (52%/36%) over State Senator Jack Martins in the race to replace Democratic Congressman Steve Israel.
In addition to his lead, voters in New York’s 3rd congressional district also have positive opinions of Suozzi (44% favorable/26% unfavorable), along with high name recognition (70%) across party lines. Only 22% of voters in the district know Martins.
At the same time, Suozzi is benefiting from positive momentum at the top of the ticket – with Hillary Clinton running double-digits ahead (51% to 35%) of a deeply unpopular Donald Trump (29% favorable/67% unfavorable, with 53% very unfavorable).
Meanwhile, nearly 4 in 10 voters say that Martins’ continued support for Trump makes them less likely to vote for the State Senator. Despite overwhelming evidence that Trump is historically unqualified and dangerous, Martins continues to believe he is best fit for president.
Finally, the district’s electorate environment favors Democrats this November. Voters lean Democratic in party self-identification (34% D/37% I/28% R), and they prefer a generic Democratic candidate over a generic Republican by 12 points (48% D/36% R).
“There is no way to spin it – State Senator Jack Martins faces a difficult uphill climb this November,” said Bryan Lesswing at the DCCC. “Given Jack Martins’ past defense of Dean Skelos and continued support for Donald Trump despite his dangerous ideas, it is clear that voters in New York’s 3rd congressional district won’t let Martins get away with putting Trump and his own party before country.”
The DCCC-commissioned poll was conducted by Global Strategy Group in a district-wide survey of 401 likely November 2016 voters in New York’s 3rd District between August 8-11, 2016. The results of this survey have a margin of error of +/-4.9%. Care has been taken to ensure the geographic and demographic divisions of the expected electorate are properly represented based on historical turnout.