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NEW: “Derrick Van Orden could face tight election against a Democratic challenger”

Washington Examiner: “Van Orden could face an uphill battle against a challenger come November”

New DCCC polling reveals Derrick Van Orden is uniquely vulnerable as he heads into the general election.

Falling behind significantly with independent voters, Van Orden is underperforming a generic Republican by five points and leading a generic Democrat by only one point.

After repeatedly bullying teenagersthrowing temper tantrums, and joining insurrectionists on Capitol grounds on January 6th, Van Orden has proven just how unfit for office he is and is quickly losing ground.

DCCC Spokesperson Mallory Payne:
“Instead of delivering for middle class families, Van Orden is focused on bullying children and embarrassing his district. Wisconsin voters are more fed up than ever with Derrick Van Orden’s public outbursts.”

Read the full memo here.

In 2022, DCCC Analytics Polls were proven to be more accurate compared to public polling throughout the cycle. DCCC Analytics polls predicted the ultimate winner in 92% of polls in the final 60 days before Election Day.

Washington Examiner: Derrick Van Orden could face tight election against a Democratic challenger: Poll
Annabella Rosciglione | July 31, 2024

  • Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-WI) could face an uphill battle against a challenger come November, according to a new poll.

  • poll from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee found Van Orden is polling just 1 point behind a generic Democratic challenger. The Democratic outfit is bullish on its chances of flipping Van Orden’s seat in the crucial swing state and excitement could increase now that Vice President Kamala Harris has taken President Joe Biden’s place at the top of the party’s ticket.

  • Van Orden polled at 48% while a generic Democrat earned 47% of the support, with 5% undecided.

  • Self-identified independent voters are Van Orden’s weakness here as he trailed a generic Democrat by 14 points among independents. This group makes up 39% of the likely electorate in his district.

  • When the poll ran a generic Republican against a generic Democrat, a generic Republican polled stronger (50%) than a generic Democrat (45%), which is 4 points stronger than Van Orden’s margin.

  • When those polled were given more information both positive and negative about Van Orden, the race was tied at 47%. 

  • Van Orden’s campaign did not respond to the Washington Examiner’s request for comment.

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